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The Silicon Scramble
By far, the major share of the PV solar industry is
dominated by single crystal and poly-crystalline silicon panels or
modules. That may change imminently if Nanosolar is true to their
word. Even before Nanosolar, the writing on the wall was clear, and
competing technologies were visibly maturing. The public was also
demanding lower cost modules, even to the point of looking to China for
relief. In answer to this, the silicon labs were busy developing
second and third generation solar technologies. I suspect the pace
is much more frantic these days. Out of this effort came the first
silicon multi-layered thin-film flexible panels, a second generation
product that uses multiple PN junctions and new light management schemes
to offset the poor solar absorption characteristics of silicon.

Most promising of all, however, and what may end up
being the last vestige of silicon in the solar cell market was some
technology pioneered very early on by the Japanese (and then forgotten for
nearly two decades) on amorphous silicon thin films, generally referred to
as a-Si or a-Si:H2 to denote the use of hydrogen as a necessary
passivation agent. But as we’ll see, there is still more development
work to be done.
Stepping back for a moment, one of the major flaws of
silicon for use in conventional solar cells stems from its relatively poor
absorption of solar radiation. It takes about 100 to 300 microns or
more of silicon depth to absorb sunlight before the light generates the
electronic characters (electrons and holes) that are responsible for the
electricity we get from the solar cell device. This is a direct
consequence of what physicists and engineers refer to as the band gap of
silicon; an inherent feature of all semiconductors that dictates the
minimum amount of energy light needs to possess in order to free an
electron from the material and thus be available for conduction.
Like water, silicon has some peculiar idiosyncrasies. It enjoys (?)
what is known as an indirect band gap as opposed to a normally behaved
direct band gap. With an indirect band gap things are just a bit
more convoluted. With this type of semiconductor, as sunlight
penetrates the silicon surface, before it can be absorbed and free an
electron for conduction, the electron needs an additional kick in the
pants to free itself from the mother atom’s grasp... a phonon (think
mechanical vibration on an electron scale). Not only that, but both
the phonon and the photon (the packet of sunlight) must arrive
simultaneously for absorption to take place. Even though at room
temperature phonons are plentiful, the statistical chances of a
simultaneous arrival of photon and phonon means that the sunlight has to
travel that much deeper into the material before things happen.
Absorption length increases. It’s just the way things are... or so
they thought.
In developing the amorphous silicon cell, one of the most delightful
surprises of all was that the silicon, when in amorphous form where there
is no crystallinity at all and silicon bonds are arranged willy-nilly as
opposed to neat and orderly, its band gap all of a sudden becomes direct
instead of indirect... a physicist’s delight! All those nasty things
associated with indirect band gaps disappeared, most noticeably, the poor
absorption of light. Silicon scientists were ecstatic at that time.
What a breakthrough! And with that advance,
very thin films on the order of 10 to 25 microns thick could be produced
with all the inherent blessings of a thin-film process. The issues
that remained such as electronic inefficiencies could either be dealt with
or balanced against the massive cost reduction this new technology should
bring about.
To get to market, however, another nagging issue had
to be solved involving the difficulty in forming the necessary electronic
junction, the PN junction. The issue stemmed from the bizarre
behavior on the part of intentionally added impurities typically added to
silicon. The impurity atoms sometimes were and sometimes were not
electrically active as they should have been. This was once again in
response to the willy-nilly arrangement of atoms in the amorphous
structure. Dangling bonds they called them. It was cleverly
rectified using hydrogen to passivate any unsatisfied silicon or impurity
bonds much the same way a tantrum is avoided with a rubber pacifier.
They shoved hydrogen atoms in the structure where bent, broken and chaotic
bonds were left to throw electronic tantrums in the device. Things
couldn’t be any simpler, couldn’t be any better than this, life was good
to the silicon people, but still, this was a new technology where anything
could happen.
And then it did. They’d put me in jail if I
didn’t mention...
The Staebler-Wronski Affair
It sure didn’t escape anyone’s attention when the
first amorphous silicon solar cells were put out in the field. After
a very short period, about 30 days or so, efficiency of the cells dropped
remarkably. Fifteen, twenty, even as much as fifty percent degradation
after sitting in the sun for a month. Sherlock Holmes in chatting
with Dr. Watson in A Scandal in Bohemia, summed up the situation perfectly
for the silicon scientists when he said, “It could be, Watson, that our
plans have been menaced!” Menaced indeed, Sherlock!
First described by Mr. Staebler and Mr. Wronski,
these poor individuals are now associated forever, even in name, with an
extremely nasty defect. So vile is this effect that you can only
whisper “Staebler-Wronski” in the presence of other silicon technologists.
Still to this day the “Staebler-Wronski” effect is
not quite understood nor the problem solved, even though amorphous silicon
solar panels are in the marketplace today. However, great advances
have been made in both these areas. The oddest feature of this mess
is that the efficiency comes back to the original specifications (or very
close to) after a short high temperature anneal at around 300 degrees
centigrade! This led the scientists to delve into the role of
hydrogen passivation. Being such a small and active atom, thermal
collisions involving the hydrogen atoms could dislodge it temporarily
leaving unsaturated silicon bonds (the dangling bonds) that are as bad for
a silicon solar cell as poly-unsaturated Crisco oil is to the face of an
oily teenager. Still, unless amorphous panels are shipped with a
rather large annealing furnace attached, something still needs to be done.
Consumer beware: Reputable manufacturers and sales outlets dealing with
amorphous silicon panels will generally state in the specifications
whether the claimed output wattage is before or after stabilization.
Some don’t. If it’s not clear, ASK!
At present, amorphous silicon can be more or less routinely produced with
minimum, but still present, light induced degradation of about 5 to 10
percent loss and it is commercially available in a variety of
building-friendly formats like flexible roofing panels, translucent panels
and more. Because of this, it may still exist after Nanosolar takes
over the world.
A Silicon Swan Song and a Parting Prayer
With this new technology emerging before it’s time,
it could be the last gasp for silicon as the dominant player in the solar
cell market, only time will tell. I, for one, will miss those blue
eyes passively looking upwards toward the sky, faithfully giving me
electrons in return for a bath in the sun. Still, we must consider
that silicon enjoys the highest overall efficiency of all despite the
aforementioned problems, and nowhere in the Nanosolar press releases is
there any mention of an overall efficiency. There must be a reason
why it is likely buried in the private specification sheet that we aren’t
privy to yet. But in a cost versus efficiency struggle, the consumer
has waited too long for reasonable pricing and few would buy into a solar
roof installation that costs three to four times what Nanosolar can supply
it for, even if it takes a few more square feet of roof to get the same
power output and even though it has the prettiest blue eyes.
Cheaper-than-milk solar panels easily offsets the real estate discrepancy.
Throw in the not-too-impossible scene where silicon solar manufacturing
ceases, plants close, and silicon modules are not to be found anymore.
Where does that leave us pioneers with 20-year warranties on ol’ blue
eyes? How safe is our 20-year warranty now?
Still, clinging to the past, one final view to
consider is the history-repeats-itself scenario where for some reason
Nanosolar fails to deliver on the pitched goods, just like Bruno did, just
like Bell Labs did. Say, for instance, there is an after-production glitch
akin to the Staebler-Wronski affair or some kind of government
interference with price controls to protect the myriad industry fallout
that might result. Price doesn’t come down. Investment sours.
No more Google money, government grants directed toward solar research
gets cut back, who is going to invest in an idea that has repeatedly
failed to materialize? It’s a possibility that must be considered,
although unlikely given the hope of getting something for nothing like
solar promises. We might still see silicon solar cells but most
likely not in the blue-eyed form of single crystal or even polycrystalline
panels anymore, they are just too darn expensive.
My guess is that this time, the miracle of affordable solar energy is
truly upon us. Tomorrow will be much different than today, thanks to
Nanosolar. Get ready to gear up for solar energy. It just may
be cheaper than milk! But, look out Nanosolar, another third
generation technology, organic semiconductor solar cells, just may be the
Hell-hound on your tail, breathing fire down your neck and searching for
massive capital to threaten you with extinction in a year’s time if you
slip up! In the meantime...
May God bless the whippersnapper, God bless ’em, one and all.

Further Reading
Practical Photovoltaics - Elctricity form Solar
Cells, Richard J. Komp, AATEC Publications, Ann Arbor, MI, 2002.
The Physics of Solar Cells, Jenny Nelson, Imperial College Press, London,
Eng., 2003.
Thin-Film Solar Cells Next Generation Photovoltaics and its Applications,
Yoshisiro Hamakawa, (ed.), Springer-Verlag, NY, NY, 2003.

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